2020 Week 1 DFS Plays on Draftkings

Lou Sherman @Loudogsports


Welcome back! After what has been a wild beginning to 2020, the NFL is bringing some sanity back into our lives this week through the game of football. I will go over my favorite plays on Draftkings here with you each Friday, so stay tuned for more exciting content. Here are a few things to know about my “plays” column:

  • Prices are for the main Draftkings Sunday NFL slate (1 and 4pm EST games)
  • These are designed to be core plays, mostly for cash (~50% of entries cash) or single entry games
  • I will also talk about good leverage plays to get off of the chalk
  • I will rarely mention Lamar Jackson, Michael Thomas and Christian McCaffrey, as they are given plays every single week

QB

Chalky

Philip Rivers ($6000) is on a new team this season, but he gets to face arguably the worst team in the league in the Jaguars in week 1. The Colts are 8 point favorites in this game, and I think they will use the veteran Rivers to gain their early lead. I am not too excited with game stacking from the other side of this matchup, so Rivers is more of a cash play for me. There is more uncertainty around a guy like Cam Newton ($6100), who I would rather use in tournaments than cash.

 

Others to Consider:

Russell Wilson ($7000) & Matt Ryan ($6700) are playing in what should be a great game for fantasy. Both of these QBs have multiple TD upside in the game with the highest over/under on the slate. 

 

RB

Chalky:

Miles Sanders ($6300) is active in the passing game for the Eagles. He was limited in practice on Thursday, which is a better sign than when he missed on Wednesday. If Sanders is sidelined for this game, Boston Scott ($4800) becomes nearly a lock for me against a weak WAS Football Team.

 

Off the Board:

Chris Thompson ($4000) is my favorite pivot off of a chalkier Antonio Gibson ($4000), as Thompson is likely to be on passing downs in a game he will be trailing, on a team with limited options. Gibson will probably be highly owned, but there is a lot of uncertainty around the play, so I would rather take Low Owned Upside (LOU) guys in this range. Pay attention to what James Robinson ($4000) does this week, as he could become useful in the future if we see him get heavy work.

 

Others to Consider:

Alvin Kamara ($7200) is one of the only running backs who had success against the TB defense last season, most of which came from his 16 receptions in the two games. Austin Ekeler ($7000) is the lead back in LA, a role that he thrived in last season. The Bengals were a team that were run all over last season, and I expect that to continue with Ekeler here. Another team that got run all over last year is the Carolina Panthers, so Josh Jacobs ($6800) is another mid range guy I have a lot of interest in this week. Chris Carson ($6200) is good leverage off the chalky aerial options of the SEA-ATL game, and we know Seattle isn’t afraid to give him 25+ touches if they get out to a lead.

 

WR

Chalky:

DK Metcalf ($5800) is simply too cheap of an option on this slate. Metcalf had 7 TD last season and 10 games of at least 50 yards. Tyler Lockett ($6500) is $700 more than Metcalf, so I expect him to come in lower owned between the two, and that’s the type of leverage I like to take in tournaments. People will play Metcalf because it “fits easier.”

 

Terry McLaurin ($5600) is facing an Eagles team that we targeted on the outside every week last season. There aren’t many other options to throw to in Washington, and I think this game is going to be more competitive than it seems on paper. I expect Dwayne Haskins to perform better this season, and that will directly correlate with McLaurin.

 

Off the Board:

Chris Godwin ($7100) could be a smash play if we find out that Mike Evans is not going to play on Sunday. NO-TB games tend to shoot out, and Godwin seems like the best Julian Edelman comp for Tom Brady to gravitate towards. Even with Evans playing in this game, I expect Godwin to be highly targeted.

 

Others to Consider:

Davante Adams ($7300) has a massive target share on a team that decided they didn’t want to add other options to pass to this offseason. He has Michael Thomas upside and floor for $1700 less. Marvin Jones ($5500) value has come up as Kenny Golladay is listed as doubtful as of Friday afternoon. Golladay’s direct backup according to their depth chart is some guy named Quintez Cephus, so I think Jones and Danny Amendola ($4800) probably get boosts this week. Calvin Ridley ($6100) has been hyped up this summer and fits nicely into SEA-ATL stacks, which means I expect Julio Jones ($7700) to come in lower owned (similar to Lockett). Both are likely common, but high upside, tournament plays. N’Keal Harry ($4400) is my favorite player to pair with Cam Newton ($6100) this season, as he is literally the same size as Devin Funchess (6’4, 225lb). Also, there are not many good options to throw to in New England.

 

TE

Chalky:

Hayden Hurst ($4300)  went to Atlanta to replace Austin Hooper, after Hooper broke out for 75/787/6 as one of Matt Ryan’s favorite targets. Ryan has had over 600 pass attempts in each of the past two seasons, so there should be plenty of passes available to go to Hurst this season.

 

Others to Consider:

T.J. Hockenson ($4200) seems to be an interesting play for me this week now that Kenny Golladay is doubtful to play, as he should see more targets than usual. Greg Olsen ($4000) is a nice pivot off of the chalkier Hurst in the same game, and allows you some uniqueness in your Wilson stacks. Jack Doyle ($3600) now has Philip Rivers as his QB, which I think will lead to more red zone targets this season and he’s in a fantasy friendly matchup at a very cheap price tag.

 

Narrative Nuggets of the Week

Desean Jackson ($4900) revenge games are real. Similar to a Steve Smith, Desean Jackson just plays well against his former teams. Jackson’s worst such game was 4/40/0. Not even a complete dud. However, Jackson averages  4.6/81.0/0.6 in 9 revenge games for his career. One of those highlight games was Week 1 of last season in this very same matchup, in which Jackson posted a 8/154/2 line in basically his only game of the season.




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