4 Downs: Week 7


Week 7 is upon us and so too are new fantasy trends. In fantasy football, as in life, some things get better with time. With more reps and chemistry developed over the opening frames of the season, more and more players are emerging as stand-out fantasy stars.

In this week’s edition of the 4 Downs, we will preview a few players who have upped their fantasy outputs over the last few weeks in particular and who seem poised for a big ‘ole day of points.

1st Down | Adrian Peterson – RB, Arizona Cardinals

No player has garnered more publicity and popularity this week than AP. His instant success in his Arizona debut has us all quickly writing off his ill-fated stint in New Orleans, dropping 2 touchdowns and 134 rushing yards last Sunday.

In week 7 Peterson returns to London for the second time this season and will be hoping to eclipse his 4 yard performance he struggled through in week 4. Peterson’s rejuvenated form should be no match for the defense he faces up against in London town this Sunday. The Los Angeles Rams have flown over the 29th ranked rushing defense in the league, a defense that allows nearly 140 rushing yards per game.

The Cardinals will be looking to use Peterson heavily on this cold and windy day in London to control the clock, minimize mistakes and force the Rams and Jared Goff to have to throw to stay in the game. Peterson’s volume and hype are the highest they have been in a number of seasons now and today is the day to cash in.

Prediction – 140+ rushing yards and 2 TDs

2nd Down | Austin Sefarian-Jenkins – TE, New York Jets

The story of ASJ is one to warm the shackles of any cold heart. After failing to fit in and perform in Tampa Bay and becoming somewhat of a locker room distraction, it appears the big framed TE has finally found a formula that works for in the Big Apple.

Since his first game this season no tight end has had more receptions than Sefarian-Jenkins and this doesn’t look likely to fall off anytime soon. Josh McCown has always had a tendency to get the ball to his trusted players and ASJ has certainly become one such thing. Having picked up a touchdown in each of the last two weeks the red zone chemistry and belief between TE and QB is clearly developing and McCown’s time in Cleveland with Gary Barnidge has shown us how successful a McCown tight end can be.

After shutting out the Dolphins in London earlier this season, the Jets return to Miami to face them on their turf this time. With the Jets looking better than they have in a long time this season they will be looking to their most trusted personnel to take them over the top on Sunday.

Prediction – 8 catches for 60+ yards and 1 TD

3rd Down | Derrick Henry – RB, Tennessee Titans

2017 has been a tough year so far for the Nashville based Titans yet Henry has proved one of few bright sparks. With the AFC South still ripe for the taking, the Titans need to take care of business this week against the struggling Browns and Henry is the way to do so.

Coming off a huge game in last week’s match-up versus the Indianapolis Colts, Henry will be looking to repeat his 131-yard performance. DeMarco Murray does not look healthy and with a similar carry total, he only managed a 40-yard output last week. There is serious talk of letting him get healthy until after the Titans bye week and so this would truly open the floodgates for Henry.

If the former Heisman winner can rattle off 6.9 ypc while sharing the back field, imagine what he can do against a poor Browns defense when he receives a full workload.

Prediction – 120+ yards and 2 TDs

4th Down | Zach Ertz | TE, Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 11, 2016; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Philadelphia Eagles tight end Zach Ertz (86) makes a one handed catch as Cleveland Browns free safety Jordan Poyer (33) defends in the first quarter at Lincoln Financial Field. Mandatory Credit: James Lang-USA TODAY Sports

With Carson Wentz at the helm, the Eagles look like a dangerous team in the NFC this season and one of Wentz’s favorite targets is Zach Ertz. The Eagles tight end is a perennial PPR superstar at the position, and while he isn’t a red zone monster like Rob Gronkowski, Ertz never fails to haul in over 5 catches for a big yardage total.
The TE1 already has over 400 yards receiving and 4 touchdowns and is by far the most targeted tight end in the NFL. Whenever Wentz needs a big play he looks straight for Ertz, who with his combination of size and speed is never too far away from a chunk play.

The Eagles face off against an old rival in week 7, the Washington Redskins. The Redskins have been up and down this season and their defense has not shown the ability to close down games. This high-flying Eagles offense should roll over the 18th ranked pass defense of Washington, en-route to a hugely productive day through the air.
While there are plenty of receiving options in Philadelphia, Ertz still leads the team in targets, proving he is Wentz’s number 1 option and proving you can expect a big day from him on Sunday.

Prediction – 10 catches for 90+ yards and a TD

Thank you for reading the week 7 edition of the 4 Downs, please check out the Fantasy Hot Read podcast and follow Will on Twitter @willpendosports




Responses

  1. Henry John says:

    October 22nd, 2017 at 12:16 pm (#)

    Zach Ertz is a true elite fantasy tight end. It doesn’t matter which receivers contribute for Philly. On a weekly basis, Ertz is always putting up numbers. I like your pick of Derrick Henry too. The talk all week has been about a true committee situation emerging in the Titans backfield, but if the plan is to ease Murray’s workload before next week’s bye, that makes Henry a great play call.