Andrew Ferris, @AndyFerrisFF
Welcome to my new weekly column that is a one-stop-shop for all things fantasy. Want a buy-low target for seasonal? Got it. Need the best pick-up on the Waiver Wire? I’m your man. Need dynasty stashes? I have dyno nuggets galore. You have to make moves to win at fantasy. I may even throw in a devy blurb once in a while for all you lovable degens out there. Without further ado, let me, the Fantasy Leonardo DaVinci, help improve your fantasy performance through a little Wheelin’ & Dealin’.
Buy: Tyrod Taylor | QB | Buffalo Bills
I’m buying on Tyrod Taylor now while Jordan Matthews and Charles Clay are injured. Owners will look at Taylor and see limited upside due to his most talented receivers being injured but I see potential and a high-floor due to rushing ability. In the most important stretch of your fantasy season, weeks 13-16, Taylor plays New England, Indianapolis, Miami, and New England again. Those four teams have allowed 19.1 aFPA (adjusted fantasy points for schedule strength which can be found at 4for4.com). Going forward I’m going to try and make some moves and wheel and deal my way to owning more Tyrod Taylor.
Sell: Todd Gurley | RB | Los Angeles Rams
Last week, Todd Gurley had a mint matchup against the Jaguars but was only the RB20 in PPR-scoring because his passing game usage dropped to one target. Gurley is still third on the team in targets with 30 but over the past 2 games, Gurley has only been targeted 5 times total. This is concerning enough but looking ahead to his schedule, which is the most difficult from this point on, Gurley is going to need passing game usage to return RB1 numbers. Selling Gurley right now is by no means an indictment on his talent; he’s great. I just think that now is the time to make moves and cash in on his hot start.
Pick-up: Chris Moore | WR | Baltimore Ravens
The Baltimore Ravens, like many other teams, have a dearth of talent at WR. They also have the most attractive schedule for WR in the last half of the fantasy season. From weeks 8 to 16, the Ravens face Miami, Tennessee, Green Bay, Detroit, Cleveland, and Indianapolis. That’s 75% of their games against bottom half fantasy secondaries. Last week, Chris Moore jump up to 47% which was second on the team for the WR position. If Jeremy Maclin finds himself (brace yourself) nicked up again, I could see Moore taking over as the WR2 for the Ravens offense. He’s definitely worth a speculative pickup if you’re hurting at WR.
Drop: Andrew Luck | QB | Indianapolis Colts
It’s pretty clear now that the Colts have been lying to everyone from the jump regarding Andrew Luck’s injury and rehab. If you have been hanging on, hoping for a late-season appearance, it is time to cut the cord. With every Colts loss, it becomes less likely that Colt plays a single down this year.
Last week, Golden Tate was injured with a sprained AC joint. It’s possible that he may miss several weeks. If that’s the case, who is going to take over for him in the slot, where he runs just over 70-percent of his routes? T.J. Jones, Marvin Jones, Kenny Golladay, or Jared Abbrederis. None of these WRs have any significant history running in the slot. Abbrederis is the white guy, so I’m sure that lazy people will guess him. But what about Theo Riddick? Is it possible that the Lions use Riddick as a slot WR thus increasing his and Ameer Abdullah’s value? Going into this bye week, both Abdullah and Riddick will have slightly lowered values so make moves to get them on your roster.
Remember when everyone talked about how the 2017 QB class sucked and the 2018 QB class was where it was at? With every passing week, those people look more and more wrong. The only QB that was well-regarded that hasn’t hurt himself has been Lamar Jackson who takes on FSU this week. Last year, he single-handedly made their entire defense quit and I’m interested to see how they go about stopping him this season.
QBs who have improved their stock are Riley Ferguson and Mason Rudolph. Ferguson gets to play an important away game on national television Thursday night. It could very well be his coming out party. The last QB I’m interested in this weekend is Syracuse’s Eric Dungey, who travels to Hard Rock Stadium to take on the luckiest team in America, the U. I’ve been a fan of Dungey since he burst onto the scene as a freshman but Dino Babers has really upped his game. With another nice outing this weekend, Dungey could make moves and start garnering some serious hype.