Sleepers: Week 3

Adam Inman @adamfantasyFB


Each week the goal is to find those sleepers who can win you your match up. Whether it be a player who becomes a season-long star-like Phillip Lindsey last season, or a player like John Ross who may flame out once A.J. Green comes back. Either way, they can win you a week and we want to find them.

These players will provide upside for their cost, thus, providing you great value. If they were draft picks, they would be like acquiring a double-digit round player who performs like a first-round star. Think James Conner circa 2018 and not James Conner circa 2019. So, who are some of these players at the quarterback, wide receiver, running back and tight end position to chase after? Well. Let’s find out together.

Following is a list of those players who should provide return both for this week as well as going forward in 2019. They may not win you every week. But no player does.

QUARTERBACKS:

Dak Prescott, DAL

Still available in over 38% of leagues he is currently the #1 ranked quarterback by DVOA. While Lamar Jackson has gotten all the praise (and rightfully so as he’s been amazing), Prescott has quietly posted a 7:1 TD/INT ratio and amassed over 660 passing yards through two games. He is a locked and loaded QB1 going forward. He’s another guy I am trading for as his team probably has an entrenched starter. (side note: if you’re the team with the starter I am targeting the Brees owner and pillaging their roster for Dak or my other QB.

Andy Dalton, CIN

This is painful for me. Dalton has been the beneficiary of a new and modern offense that utilizes his short-area accuracy and doesn’t force him to launch ducks into the deep secondary. Translation, his new west-west coast offense is perfect for him and the coach seems to know how to utilize the talent around him. The offense looks as good as it ever has with Dalton at the helm, and this is without AJ Green or a healthy Joe Mixon. If Dalton manages to put a few more scores on the board (only four through the two games), “The Floor’s The Ceiling For Dalton”.

Josh Allen, BUF

This is the drum that I am going to keep beating or the hill I am going to die on. Josh Allen is a weekly QB1 and his unique blend of mobility and arm strength make a 40-yard run and a 75-yard bomb both equally likely. He’s surrounded by burners and his mediocre running back group ensure that he is going to have to continue heaving the ball. He is another player who is due for some positive touchdown regression.

RUNNING BACKS:

Carlos Hyde, HOU

The fantasy world collectively sighed relief when Duke Johnson found his way into the Houston offense after the Lamar Miller injury. A freed Duke had serious upside, especially when you account for his virtually unmatched production in the receiving game. But, the simple fact is that Carlos (no team wants me) Hyde has simply been better. He’s out-snapped him, out carried him, and outproduced him in almost every fashion. Hyde has been a punching bag for writers and analysts alike for years now, truth be told he was an incredibly talented runner who just was consistently bitten by the injury bug. Duke Johnson is not a feature back and Hyde is a strong game or two away from sending Johnson in a time machine back to his Cleveland usage days.

Jamaal Williams, GB

Williams has handled about a 40% snap share in the Packers first two games. He is explosive in the passing game and seems to have the change-of-pace role locked down. If something were to happen with Aaron Jones, he would warrant weekly starting consideration as an RB2.

Rex Burkhead, NE

Typically, I avoid Patriots runners like the plague, but Burkhead has 20 total touches through two weeks and seems to clearly be the preferred option behind Michel. And, the Patriots haven’t faced a team yet that they didn’t blow out. While that might not change against the hapless Jets in Week 3, the Bills in Week 4 are a top 10 against both the pass and the run.

Raheem Mostert, SF

Mostert should have been leading most lists last week. He is heavily involved in the entire Niners’ offense and is a top 8 RB according to DVOA. This offense found its rhythm last week and Mostert is carving out a role that should exist even after Coleman returns.

Chris Thompson, Washington

A Ferris favorite, few runners in the NFL catch the ball as naturally as Thompson does. AP is never going to be a threat to take those targets away and Washington is likely to be chasing points in just about every game they play. If volume drives fantasy production (spoiler: it does) then Thompson is going to be a threat for 5-8 targets on a weekly basis.

WIDE RECEIVERS:

Demarcus Robinson, KC

Even outside of the massive hammer he dropped in week two (6-172-2 on 6 targets) Robinson should have immediately grabbed eyes when Tyreek Hill went down. A vertical threat that can lift the lid on defenses he will be an intriguing plug-and-play option for the duration of Hill’s injury.

Washington WR’s,

Both Terry McLaurin and Trey Quinn have been a nice surprise for fantasy purposes, and they’re both available on far too many waiver wires. Again, Washington is going to be chasing points and these young studs (especially TMC) are going to contribute to owners that are smart enough to play them.

John Ross, CIN

I am going back to the well!!! Ross is still available in a third of leagues and is performing like an absolute stud. He is ranked as a top 16 WR by football outsiders and should continue to feast in this new Cincy dink and dunk offense. If you can’t pick him up, trade for him.

Randall Cobb, DAL

Cobb was left for dead in Green Bay, and the fantasy community left him for dead when Michael Gallup showed out this offseason. The thing is, all the Dallas skill position players can flourish in what is suddenly a high-flying offense (if you’re skeptical please look at Jason Witten’s stat lines). Cobb still has some gas in the tank and is a master at hoovering those short-area targets (the ones that would usually be cleaned up by an RB). While his ceiling is certainly lower than others, he should have a nice floor with the occasional rush sprinkled in as well (take that Tavon Austin Truthers!!)

Tight Ends:

Will Dissly, SEA

Will Dissly was an absolute animal for the first two games last season until he hurt his knee in week four. Seattle spent a premium pick on a position that was among their team’s weakest, and owners forgot that this season. He is used in all phases of the game in week two amassing 50 yards on 5 catches and 2 scores and is poised to become this season’s greatest value at the position, provided he can stay healthy.

Austin Hooper, ATL

Week 1, and Atlanta’s pathetic showing, led to Hooper being dumped in a ton of leagues for players like Delanie Walker. But, the week 2 return to normalcy has left Hooper in the top 6 at the position for targets and receptions. He is also top 8 for receiving yards. Bottom line, this guy is just getting better and some of these more questionable should quickly be replaced with Hooper and the high-flying Falcons offense.




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