Lou Sherman @loudoggggsports
This is a list of “my guys” this week. Check out the supplement for guys we like for the full season. I’ll play around with different combinations of these players to make my cash lineup fit the $50k salary on Draftkings. Do Chris Carson and Tyler Lockett make sense in the same lineup? I might like them both, but that doesn’t mean they will correlate together. You need to think about how your entire lineup jives together in order to acquire your most comfortable floor.
Jameis Winston ($6600)
Jameis will probably be in consideration for me each week, even at his high price. Plus, Ryan Fitzpatrick is no longer there to take over mid-game. Winston gets the 49ers at home in week 1.
Jameis Winston 2018 Starts (9):
7 games of at least 20 DraftKings points
5 games over 300 yards
5 games with multiple TD
3 INT in his last 6 starts combined
Carson Wentz ($5700) has thrown for multiple TD in 3 consecutive matchups against WAS, has been a top 12 fantasy QB in 4/5, and the Eagles have the highest implied total (27.5) on the slate. Cam Newton ($6500) is always in play, as his ceiling is as high as any other QB, and he’s at home in a potential shootout. Josh Allen ($5600) has a rushing floor and gets to face arguably the worst cornerbacks in the league this week.
*The $5000-$6500 range on Draftkings is stacked, and that could make the higher-priced RBs go under-owned this week.
Leonard Fournette ($6100)
The Chiefs were the 3rd-worst defense against the run last season. After Alfred Blue went on IR, Fournette’s backups have a total of 5 combined rushes in their careers. Fournette should be a three-down back, in a game they are expected to trail, which leads to plenty of fantasy goodness.
Dalvin Cook ($6000)
Last year, the strategy for RB each week on Draftkings started with: “Who’s facing the Falcons?” The Falcons defense was very generous to opposing RB, especially when it came to short passes over the middle of the field. I’m going to keep implementing this strategy until I’m convinced it’s no longer accurate. Cook is a stud and should be used until he gets hurt or starts getting priced higher. Cook is the first guy in my cash lineup.
Mark Ingram ($5100)
This might be the only week I’ll play Ingram all year. But he gets to face Miami. He’s on a run-first team that will dominate time of possession. I think he’ll get 15+ touches in this game with a red-zone role. I think Baltimore will ease Justice Hill in, and I don’t think they would’ve went out and got Ingram if they were content with Gus Bus. Stacking Ingram with Lamar Jackson ($6000) is something I’ll do in some GPP lineups that can be a fun way to differentiate.
Christian McCaffrey ($8800) is the high priced RB I’m targeting this week in a shootout environment. Matt Breida ($4000) is the starter (on paper) for the 49ers, who have an easy matchup against the Bucs. I don’t love Nick Chubb ($6400) this week in a game that should be slow-paced, but I get the play. Austin Ekeler ($5500) is expected to lead the Chargers backfield in a “60/40” split with Justin Jackson ($4000), and the Colts defense lean towards short passes to the RB. Chris Carson ($5700) could be in line for 20+ touches and gets to face a team that gave up 5 yards per carry last season and the most Draftkings points to RB. Chris Thompson ($3500) is also in play in a game that scripts his way against a team that gave up 110 catches to the RB position last year.
Tyler Lockett ($6000)
Russell Wilson is running out of guys to throw it to, and Seattle can’t run the ball the whole game. I expect Lockett to get 5-7 targets, and with Wilson’s efficiency, that can easily become a 5/90/1 slash line against this sub-par pass defense for 20 DK points.
Chris Godwin ($6200)
Even if you aren’t going with Winston this week, you should consider Godwin. In bigger gpps, I like teams that have Winston, Godwin, and bring it back with George Kittle ($6600). Mike Evans missed Thursday’s practice with the flu, so Godwin could be in line for a massive day.
Trey Quinn ($3600) is the slot receiver in Washington. We only have a 2-game sample for Quinn, but he faces an Eagles defense that was the most fantasy-friendly to opposing WR last year. Case Keenum has historically favored slot receivers. If he sneaks a TD in this game, he’ll pay off handsomely. FUN FACTS: Trey Quinn holds the ALL-TIME High School record for receiving yards (6,566) in a career and threw a no-hitter in the 2008 Little League World Series for Louisiana.
Adam Thielen ($6800) is in play in an expected shootout, plus Diggs is banged up. Dede Westbrook ($4800) has a great matchup and has vibed with Foles so far. Brandin Cooks ($6500) should have a productive game in Carolina on Sunday. DJ Moore ($5500) interests me on the other side of that game. Curtis Samuel ($4200) is a discounted Moore, expected to have high ownership on Draftkings. John Brown ($4300) will probably make my GPP pools until he’s over $5k, as Josh Allen is always one play away from throwing a 70 yard TD. Marquise Goodwin ($4000), we’ve seen his upside, gets to face the Buccaneers’ meager defense.
Hunter Henry ($3900)
Henry has gotten a decent amount of hype this off-season, as many analysts have considered him a top 6 TE in the league. Well, Henry is under $4k this week, nearly $1k less than Evan Engram, and a $3200 discount off of Kelce, who faces the Jags. Oh, and did I mention that Indy gave up the most yards and receptions to opposing TE last season? You should feel comfortable setting lineups with Henry in them this week.
Evan Engram ($4800) will probably be another highly owned TE, as the Giants have a depleted receiving corps. OJ Howard ($5000) is in play, especially if you are rostering Winston. The 49ers only gave up 1 TD to opposing TE after week 4 last year (oddly enough to Cameron Brate), so I’m hesitant to play Howard in cash, but his ceiling is pretty high for a TE with his 12.4 aDOT.
DeSean Jackson ($4500) faces his former Redskins this week, back as a member of the Eagles. DeSean has 4/7 such games in his career with over 100 yards. Jackson led the league in yards per reception last year. DeSean had a 5/67/0 line against these Redskins as a member of the Buccaneers last season. DeSean averages 5/82/0.4 in his 9 Week 1’s in his career (excluding the game he got hurt), including a massive 5/146/2 game last year for Tampa. He could be worth a flier at under 5% owned on Draftkings.