Week 12 DFS Plays on Draftkings

Lou Sherman @loudogsports


No Lamar, no Mahomes, no Dalvin. This slate is missing some star power, but it should prove to be just as fun as last week.

QB

Chalky:

Matt Ryan ($6700) has the least chance to fail of all the QBs on this slate, facing the leaky Tampa Bay defense at home, and only having one game under 300 passing yards this season. I think he’s worth getting up to this week.

 

Others to Consider:

Jameis Winston ($6200) might not be good at real life football, but boy is he solid for your fantasy team. With 5 straight games of at least 43 pass attempts and 300 yards, you can live with the 13 INT Winston has had in that span. Baker Mayfield ($5900) has a 27 point implied total this week against Miami. With only one game of less than 30 pass attempts this season, there should be enough of a floor here to be confident in the star of all the commercials you are watching during games.

 

RB

Chalky:

Alvin Kamara ($8200) had 10 receptions last week to go along with 13 rush attempts. Kamara and Michael Thomas ($9300) drive this offense and it’s a good matchup against Carolina. Kamara is $2300 cheaper than CMC, and it’s going to be hard to get up to the Panther this week.

 

Off the Board

Kareem Hunt ($5600) has been used in lieu of a receiving TE on the Browns, and it seems to be working. Hunt is looking like a great Draftkings and PPR play this week, after 9 and 8 targets, respectively, in his 2 games on the team. Oh yeah and he’s at home against the Dolphins.

 

Others to Consider:

Derrick Henry ($6900) and Leonard Fournette ($7300) battle in what I expect to be a grind of a game. Nick Foles threw the ball 47 times last week, but I think this game will be slow and heavily involve these two running backs. Le’Veon Bell ($6400) is cheap and has 3 consecutive games with at least 2 touches. However, Bilal Powell nearly split snaps and touches with Bell last week, so there is some risk that his role is being spread out as the season is basically over for the Jets. Derrius Guice ($4700) only had 8 touches in his return (Adrian Peterson ($4300) had 11), but I think he was just being eased back in. The Redskins have become one of the most run-heavy offenses and face the Lions, who have given up the most DK points to opposing RB this season.

 

WR

Chalky:

Odell Beckham Jr. ($7000) has 5 consecutive games with at least 50 yards and 6 targets without getting a TD. Jarvis Landry has 3 straight games with a TD. Something is wrong here, and I think a matchup against Miami without Xavien Howard is the perfect spot for Odell to regress back to his mean. Odell has a multi-TD game in every other season in his career.

 

Off the Board:

Chris Conley ($4100) has 4 consecutive games with at least 7 targets. It was good to see him still get volume as Foles took back over, and the Titans secondary is one we have been attacking all season, especially outside of Logan Ryan coverage, which should be on Dede Westbrook.

 

Others to Consider:

N’Keal Harry ($3300) could be in line to make value this week, as Mohamed Sanu and Phillip Dorsett are banged up and could lead to more targets for Harry. Taylor Gabriel ($4200) is one of my favorite cheap WR this week. He’s on the field all the time and had 14 (!) targets last week. He has big play ability and could easily find a ceiling game this week.

 

TE

Chalky:

Vance McDonald ($3500) has 3 straight weeks with 7 targets. Juju and Conner are going to miss this game and Jaylen is expensive at $7200. TE is really ugly this week, but McDonald seems to ave a decent floor.

 

Others to Consider:

Cameron Brate ($3600) is the cheapest way to attack the TB/ATL game with any sort of confidence (see Scotty Miller at $3100). Brate is a red zone target and showed last week that he can accumulate targets if need be. Mike Gesicki ($3400) has 6 targets in 3 straight games, so you could definitely do worse than him.

 

Narrative Nuggets to Play this Week

Jarvis Landry ($6300) faces the Dolphins is what I actually believe to be a revenge game. He’s been priced up for the matchup, but Landry’s 7 targets last week was his first in single digits since the bye (4 games). He has 3 straight games with a TD, showing he does indeed have a ceiling in this offense.

Ryan Fitzpatrick ($5000) turns 37 on the other side of this game. His 323 passing yards last week shows he still has some boom ability.




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