Lou Sherman @loudogsports
This week is a reminder that I will most likely not write about Lamar Jackson, Christian McCaffery, and Michael Thomas anymore. They are obvious plays every week and speak for themselves. Also, the Cole Beasley revenge game narrative WAS real.
Andy Dalton ($4700) is back and gets the Jets in his first game. The Ryan Finley experiment failed (or succeeded if they were trying to lose) so we are back to Dalton, who had 3 games of at least 300 yards passing before being benched. The Chiefs are the only team that pass more in neutral game scripts, and this Bengals game is projected to be close for once.
Patrick Mahomes ($7400) averages 340/3.3/0.3 in his 3 games against the Raiders. The Raiders have allowed over 400 passing yards 3 times this season, including Mahomes in Week 2. Nick Foles ($5700) is in a great spot versus Tampa Bay, and has been throwing a ton since returning, with 47 and 48 pass attempts. He should be able to reach the 300 yard bonus in this game, and has multiple cheap options to stack with, increasing upside in your lineups.
Miles Sanders ($5400) has not been getting the fantasy points we want to see out of a starting RB with target upside, but he’s seeing 85% of the snaps with Jordan Howard out and the Eagles are 10 point favorites with the second highest implied total on the slate.
LeSean McCoy ($4800) should see an increase in play time and red zone work with Damien Williams out for this game. Darrel Williams is expected to still see pass game work, but McCoy is cheap and has a path to 15 touches on the only team with a team total above 28 on Sunday.
Le’Veon Bell ($7200) faces the Bengals this week, and only MIA and WAS have faced more rush attempts than them. Bell has yet to top 70 rushing yards in a game this year, but the Bengals have allowed at least 70 to 9 players (Lamar Jackson twice). Plus you can expect Bell to get 3-5 receptions.
Leonard Fournette ($7500) received 33 touches last week, including a season-high 9 catches. Fournette has 16 receptions since Foles has returned, and the Bucs allow basically anyone to catch passes on them. Josh Jacobs ($6900) gets fed rush attempts every week and faces the Chiefs who allow the most fantasy points to RB. Jacobs had 99 frustrating yards (no bonus) on 12 attempts in Week 2. I think we have a get-right spot for Saquon Barkley ($7400) this week. He has something to prove and with the injuries to the WR/TE on the Giants, he could see additional targets.
Davante Adams ($7000) is too cheap for his usage. Adams has 7 receptions in each game since he returned from turf toe and he is just as likely as any player above him in price to score 30+ DK points this week.
Sterling Shepard ($4900) received 9 targets in his first game back from concussion. Shepard is expected to take over the slot role with Golden Tate sideline, so I like thisshepard is the chalk spot for him. Darrius Slayton ($5300) is $400 more and could be a good tournament play if . Shepard has at least 5 receptions in every game this year.
Mecole Hardman ($4200) played 76% of the team snaps in Mexico and may have finally moved above Demarcus Robinson on the pecking order. If Tyreek Hill ($8900) is not truly 100%, I think we could be in for a big Hardman game.
Chris Conley ($4500) got another 8 targets last week and now gets another good matchup in the Bucs. Tyler Boyd ($5500) and Alex Erickson ($4000) are the guys I am pairing with Andy Dalton this week. Boyd had at least 6 targets in each of his Dalton games. We also saw Erickson breakout the last time Dalton was under center, and the Jets have a juicy secondary to attack through the air.
Tyler Higbee ($2500) will be heavily owned with Gerald Everett missing this game, and the fact that Higbee will be facing the Cardinals who have allowed a TD to the TE in 9 of 11 games makes this an easy play.
Jack Doyle ($3300) is finally free from splitting time with Eric Ebron, who went to IR last week. If you can get up to Travis Kelce ($6200) this week, he has smashed the Raiders since Mahomes has been his QB, and had a 7/107/1 line back in Week 2. With Hunter Renfrow out, Darren Waller ($5500) should be in line for more targets, and he had 6/63/0 against them in the last matchup.
Did you know?
Aaron Rodgers ($6500) and Aaron Jones ($6800) not only share first names, but that they share the same birthday too. Well that day is Monday (10/2). Last year on their birthday, Rodgers threw for a TD, and Jones ran one in for the only 2 TD in the game for the Pack. #discountdoublebirthdaynarrative