Week 16 Sleepers

Conlin Postma


Week 16 Sleepers

Here we are, Week 16, in what “should be” the last week of the Fantasy season. Week 17 is tough because players don’t always play the full game nor are some star players active. So, if you play in Week 17 Fantasy playoff games, I’m very sorry. If in fact you’ve made your league’s championship, congratulations! Now, let’s help you make that money and take first place.

There are multiple generous matchups for these Week 16 Sleepers. Struggles of several pass defenses has been the story line of many successful performances. That has help a lot of QB’s, WR’s, and TE’s to breakout every week. Looking ahead to this week, Seattle, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh are among some of the teams who have “easier” contests.

It has been a common occurrence to look back at my previous week’s sleepers. Here are my Week 15 sleepers with their Fantasy Pros Half-PPR finishes. The reason for the * next to Washington and Hurst is because their statuses depended on Josh Jacobs and Mark Andrews playing. Since both Jacobs and Andrews played, their performances and rankings were worse than I anticipated.

Drew Lock: QB31
Mitchell Trubisky: QB14
DeAndre Washington*: RB58
Kareem Hunt: RB22
Breshad Perriman: WR1
Dede Westbrook: WR76
Ian Thomas: TE32
Hayden Hurst*: TE36

The first one of my Week 16 Sleepers is a signal-caller who is possibly making one of his final starts for arguably the worst team in the NFL.

Quarterbacks

Andy Dalton, @ Miami Dolphins

Here we have one of the easier games for Dalton since he took back his starting role. Miami has struggled all season against the pass, surrendering 257.8 yards and 2.4 TD’s per game to opposing QB’s. Since Week 11, the Dolphins have allowed every QB to throw for over 270 yards along with two or more scores. Dalton isn’t worth starting over QB’s such as Aaron Rodgers or Drew Brees. He should be looked at as a starting option over Tom Brady, Baker Mayfield, or possibly Josh Allen. Due to matchup, Dalton has a top five ceiling with a safe top 12 floor.

Running Backs

Mike Boone, vs Green Bay Packers

Now that Dalvin Cook is injured again and backup Alexander Mattison is banged up, too Boone could be the main back on Monday. Just because of pure volume, Boone could be a strong Week 16 Sleeper. Before Sunday, Green Bay had given up 75-plus rushing yards in four of out five games to each starting back. After Dalvin Cook left the game against the Chargers, Boone took over and finished with 13 carries racking up 56 rushing yards and scored twice. Again, be warned, IF Cook is active for the Monday Night Game then Boone isn’t as valuable.

Devonta Freeman, vs Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are looking more and more like they are done with this season and Freeman could feast because of that. In Week 14, he had one of his best games of the season with not only scoring his first TD of the year, but he had 21 touches for 94 yards. Since Week Nine, there have been five different 100 yardrushers against the Jaguars. In that same time frame, nine different backs have reached the endzone at least once. There is a real chance that Freeman can finish the game with a minimum of one TD and 100 total yards. His Week 16 Sleeper status stems from the possibility of Devonta having his highest finish in 2019.

Wide Receivers

Justin Watson, vs Houston Texans

Last week was Perriman as a sleeper, but due to Chris Godwin now out with a hamstring injury we need another Tampa Bay wideout. To tally up injuries, Godwin, Mike Evans, and Scotty Miller are all out with hamstring injuries. That will leave more than 20 available targets, for Watson and significantly increases his volume and ceiling. The week prior Watson was WR18, but last week he wasn’t used too much. He only got 17 receiving yards on just two receptions. Houston has had trouble against the pass all season. Since Week Six, they have surrendered eight 74-plus yard performances. Out of those eight receivers, seven of them also scored a TD. Watson has a safe top 25 floor in a pass heavy offense, but his ceiling is top eight.

Anthony Miller, vs Kansas City Chiefs

One of the most underrated and unspoken about WR’s in the NFC is Anthony Miller. Since Week Nine, this Chicago wideout has been on another level. He’s totaled 52 targets for 33 receptions racking up 431 yards and reaching the endzone in back to back weeks. In that time frame, Miller has been the ninth best WR in Fantasy. Coincidentally, Kansas City has surrendered four different 70-plus yard games to opposing receivers since Week 11. Miller will again be the second most targeted receiver for Chicago and could be in line for seven or more targets against the explosive Chiefs offense.

Tight Ends

Noah Fant, vs Detroit Lions

Drew Lock has given life to this Broncos team, but more importantly, Noah Fant. When Lock took over in Week 13, his connection to Fant was imminent. He help this former Iowa TE become the TE9 since he took over. Fant hasn’t seen the most targets, but he’s made the most of them with 174 receiving yards and one TD. Against Detroit, he could find some success as they’ve struggled at times with opposing TE’s. 14 players at his position had either a TD and/or more than 40 receiving yards. It should be interesting to see if Fant can continue his recent hot streak against this streaky Lions defense.

Jacob Hollister, vs Arizona Cardinals

It is no secret that Arizona hasn’t been able to stop most TE’s all season. Throughout the season, they’ve given up 15 scores to TD’s, four 100 yard games, seven games with a TE having more than 55 receiving yards, and all seven of those players scored a TD to go with their dominant performances. Hollister has struggled recently, but due to the disappointing suspension of Josh Gordon, he could see a few more targets. Not only is Gordon gone, but Rashaad Penny has also been placed on IR. Hollister should see an increase to his 5.6 targets per game.

 




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