Andrew Ferris, @AndyFerrisFF
Welcome to my new weekly column that is a one-stop-shop for all things fantasy. Want a buy-low target for seasonal? Got it. Need the best pick-up on the Waiver Wire? I’m your man. Need dynasty stashes? I have dyno nuggets galore. I may even throw in a devy blurb once in a while for all you lovable degens out there. Without further ado, let me, the Fantasy Leonardo DaVinci, help improve your fantasy performance through a little Wheelin’ & Dealin’ in Week 8.
Buy: Keenan Allen | WR | Chargers
Back-to-back mediocre efforts has Keenan Allen’s value at a low-point for the season. Allen hasn’t scored a TD since Week 1 but he is still averaging 9.7 targets per game. Touchdown regression is coming his way so buy now. He also has games against Kansas City and the New York Jets during weeks 15 and 16. It’s time to wheel and deal your way to this target monster before the start of Week 8.
Sell: Latavius Murray | RB | Minnesota Vikings
Over the past 3 games, Murray has gotten 14, 16, and 18 touches. This culminated in last week’s 103-yard eruption. I would look to trade him to the Jerick McKinnon owner who is probably spooked from last week. Murray’s value is at an all-time high but the snap share is 60-40 split between McKinnon and Murray.
Pick-up: Zay Jones | WR | Buffalo Bills
Zay Jones is a player that I wasn’t high on coming into the year. I thought he would struggle with press coverage but I never thought he would struggle with catching the football. Currently, Jones has a 22-percent catch rate. Without delving into hyperbole, I would bet my entire life that if you put me in a uniform I could go out there for 6 games and have a 22-percent catch rate. I would grow my hair out and have sweet accessories, I might even get a tattoo. But the thing is… my 22-percent catch rate would never have a chance to regress to the mean. Zay Jones’ will. Even if he were to finish the season at 55-percent catch rate, he would need a pretty darn efficient second half of the season. It starts in Week 8, so pick him up now!
Drop: John Brown | WR | Arizona Cardinals
I love John Brown but Blaine Gabbert does not have the skillset to use Brown’s skills effectively. In redraft leagues, it is likely that there will be a player on waivers who has more upside for the stretch run of the fantasy season. It hurts to write it but, alas, here we are. Sorry, John.
Every week, Austin Ekeler’s value increases incrementally. Last week, Ekeler saw a season-high 31-percent snap share. He’s also been very efficient with .83 ppr/snap. I see a little Chris Thompson/Danny Woodhead in his game. (@HankTimeSports also highlighted him here, Deep Dives.) A player I’m not giving up on is Brett Hundley. It’s been a rough two weeks for him but the rushing ability is intriguing. I think that Mike McCarthy needs to open up the playbook a little more and allow Hundley to create like the JV version of Aaron Rodgers that he is in Week 8.
Last week we had the epic return of Derrius Guice and it was magnificent. It reminded us why he was so highly thought of going into the season.
This week will be the best yet in terms of match-ups. TCU visits Iowa State which will feature 3 of the most talented sophomore RBs in the country: David Montgomery, Darius Anderson, and Sewo Olonilua. NC State travels to South Bend to take on the red-hot, Fighting Irish. Josh Adams has really come on strong this year and I could see him working his way into the first round of rookie drafts depending on his landing spot.
Lastly, Penn State travels to Ohio State where they are almost a touchdown underdog despite their #2 ranking. Saquon Barkley has cemented himself at the number one player in every rookie draft next year but if he wants to win the Heisman, he must show out this game. On the other side, J.K. Dobbins has similar numbers to Barkley. The Dobfather is a true freshman but ranks just behind Barkley, Guice, and Montgomery for me in devy ranks.