Lou Sherman @loudogsports
Last week was alright. We got Latavius, Michael Thomas,Mike Evans and Kenny Golladay right. Let’s see what we’ve got this week.
Derek Carr ($5500) is at home with a 26.5 implied total. Carr has multiple touchdown passes in 4 of his last 5 games, and the Lions are quietly allowing the most passing yards per game of any team. In fact, Carson Wentz’s 259 was the lowest passing total on the Lions this season.
Josh Allen ($6500) has a great rushing floor and faces a Redskins defense that has allowed a QB to pass for 3 TD on 4 separate occasions. Kyle Allen ($5200) looks to bounce back versus a middling Titans secondary. Allen is a decent play on Draftkings, where you have cheap stacking options in DJ Moore ($4800), Curtis Samuel ($4300), and Greg Olsen ($3500). Oh yeah, and a guy named Christian McCaffery ($10,000).
Jaylen Samuels ($4000) is a pass-catching back who might be thrown into the role of bellcow if James Conner were to miss as he is doubtful. The Colts allow short yardage throws across the middle of the field, so Samuels is probably still in play if you need savings in certain builds. Just lock him in and move on.
Nick Chubb ($7300) has at least 20 rush attempts in 4 of 7 games, and the only two RB who have had at least 20 rush attempts on the Broncos defense had 20+ point fantasy days (Jacobs 85 yards and 2 TD, Fournette 225 yards). Volume is king in DFS.
Dalvin Cook ($9500) is expensive, but has continuously shown us his high floor this season, and gets one of the juiciest possible matchups in Kansas City. Derrick Henry ($5700) is the engine that drives the Titans offense. The Panthers have given up a 100 yard rusher in 2 of their last 3 games, 7 rush TD in that time period. Aaron Jones ($7000) showed last week that his 40 point ceiling is still possible with Jamaal Williams back in action. Jones has been active in the passing game, with 34 targets over the past 5 contests, so he bodes well for Draftkings scoring.
Jarvis Landry ($4500) could fall into a big role this week if Chris Harris shadows Odell this week. Landry has 4 straight games with at least 5 targets and provides you some savings for jamming in the expensive RB.
Curtis Samuel ($4300) has at least 6 targets in each of his last 6 games, and 5 carries during that time. Samuel has a good floor and seems to be a favorite target for Kyle Allen. We attacked the Titans defense with last week with Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, so I think we should go back.
Diontae Johnson ($4500) is becoming my favorite pivot off of Landry and the two Dolphins receivers. Mason Rudolph ($5000) clearly has a connection with Johnson, and we have the Monday night discount in effect once again. Same goes for Juju Smith-Schuster ($6300).
Preston Williams ($4200) has a 14.3 aDOT and 32% target share for the Dolphins this season. The Jets secondary has allowed season-high games to Chris Conley (4/103/1), Odell Beckham (6/161/1), and John Brown (7/123/1). The Dolphins have allowed Marquise Brown (4/147/2), Terry McLaurin(4/100/2) and John Brown (5/83/1) to get to them, so Robby Anderson ($5500) intrigues me. Robby has at least 5 targets in all 6 career games against Miami, and should be in line to see the same this weekend. Tyrell Williams ($5900) is the receiver to pair with Carr, as he has literally gotten a touchdown in every game he’s gotten a target this year (5).
Jack Doyle ($3000) could be in line for added targets in a plus matchup against the Steelers. TY Hilton is out for about a month and Eric Ebron could miss this game, after missing Thursday practice with an ankle injury.
Darren Waller ($6300) will be popular in Carr and Stafford lineups. TE is a position you are either going to pay up for Waller or Kelce, or you are probably punting with one of the sub-$3800 guys this week. It is a sloppy position, and Waller is one of the only constants. TJ Hockenson ($3700) is a big field gpp play this week for me. Oakland gave up 2 TD to Darren Fells last week, and have allowed 6 on the season. Noone is going to play Hock, so he’s a decent leverage play on DET-OAK game stacks in my opinion.
Adrian Peterson ($4200) and Frank Gore ($4300) battle in a matchup of future Hall of Famers in the top 6 of the all time rushing yards list. Peterson came out this week and stated that Gore is motivation for him to continue playing for multiple years.